Clinton keeps the policy he attacked and the OAS mission fails

Before taking office Bill Clinton announced that he would go on returning Haitian boat people, reversing what he had said as a candidate. Aristide broadcast to Haitians asking them to stay where they were rather than take to the sea. The priest Antoine Adrien said plainly that the mixed signals from Washington were the reason nothing in Haiti could be settled. In mid January 1993 another OAS team arrived under the diplomat Dante Caputo, who hoped to place five hundred observers around the country. Crowds organised by supporters of the coup kept him nearly confined to his hotel. He met General Cedras and got nowhere. Marc Bazin gave up the de facto prime ministership on 8 June after almost a year in the job. The Haitian envoys Casimir and Longchamps then got the leaky hemispheric oil embargo made global at the United Nations in mid June, with an arms embargo alongside it. Caputo, now wearing a United Nations hat, summoned Cedras and Aristide to New York.

On 24 May 1992 George Bush signed the order known as the Kennebunkport Order, which told the Coast Guard to carry Haitians found on the high seas straight back to Haiti without any screening at all. People who wanted asylum were told to apply at the American consular office in Port-au-Prince, inside the country they were trying to leave, and to be interviewed there by American immigration officers. Guantanamo Bay was overcrowded, attempts to place refugees on other Caribbean islands and in Central America had failed, and an election was months away. Bill Clinton called the policy cruel during the campaign and kept it once elected. After American troops returned Aristide to office in 1994 most of the Haitians at Guantanamo were sent home, the last of them in November 1995. The Cubans held there were admitted to the United States.

In 1992 UNESCO began a project on the routes of the slave trade, on the argument that hiding a history of that size blocks any reconciliation built on top of it. Ceremonies and monuments followed in Benin, Ghana and Ivory Coast. In Ouidah it produced a festival of Vodun arts, and dozens of artists from Africa and the diaspora were commissioned to make sculptures. Their work now lines the road running from the town down to the beach where captives were loaded into canoes. One stop is a memorial said to stand over the common grave of people who died before embarkation. Another is the Tree of Return, where guides say the departing were made to circle three times so their spirits would come home, and another the Tree of Forgetting, which was supposed to strip their memories. Robin Law finds no trace of either tree in any record before the 1990s.

Archaeologists working in the Caribbean have often judged the size of a pre-Columbian settlement from the spread of pottery and stone visible on the ground. Work published by Versteeg in 1993 showed that the measure is unreliable, because what reaches the surface is a small and uneven sample of what was buried and does not mark the edges of the place where people actually lived. Many island villages have therefore been recorded as smaller than they were. The finding carries a second warning. A finished artefact is the end of a process, and reading only the end product hides the labour, the movement of materials and the shifts of style that made it. Caribbean sites were reworked continually, and careful mapping and excavation are what recover that. I keep this on a Haitian timeline because the Taino settlements of Hispaniola were sized by the same rough method, and how many people met Columbus in 1492 has been argued over ever since.