about 1740 · Pre-Revolutionaryapproximate
Europe starts having more children around 1740
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Historians agree that a population upsurge began in Europe around 1740, give or take a decade. The mechanism most of them now favour is fertility rather than medicine. Death rates were held down by better food and cleaner habits, and inoculation against smallpox mattered far less than it was once given credit for, since medical treatment had almost no measurable effect on mortality before the twentieth century. What moved the birth rate was the age at which women married. In the seventeenth century, hard times had pushed marriage later and had probably increased the use of withdrawal as a check on births. A run of good harvests between 1715 and 1750 made it possible to set up a household earlier, and the age of marriage fell. More households meant more children. This is the demographic base under the whole expansion that followed, including the expansion of the Atlantic plantation trade.